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Red40
37297.8
133215.0
406815.2
Blue40
328813.1
130312.6
364817.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060804040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#40
15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 2.1
3648
#39
17.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
1332
#17
15.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End4.3
red by 1.9
3288
#30
13.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.3
Third
3729
#53
7.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 4.8
1303
#46
12.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed