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Red46
158315.5
19779.7
320017.4
Blue38
789116.4
239514.7
208312.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393610203050604638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#18
17.41.0
13.414.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End4.1
red by 1.0
7891
#12
16.40.4
10.310.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End4.7
Second
1583
#34
15.51.0
11.412.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End4.1
red by 0.7
2395
#26
14.70.3
12.112.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
1977
#47
9.71.0
12.013.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 2.5
2083
#51
12.20.4
12.012.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed