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Red20
549312.3
406815.2
441816.5
Blue41
565713.8
297217.7
315823.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4451102030607080902041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#28
16.51.6
16.314.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End5.2
blue by 6.9
23.40.5
21.521.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.4
End3.4
Second
4068
#40
15.22.4
13.611.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 2.5
17.70.9
15.915.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Third
5493
#25Sur
12.32.4
11.49.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.2
blue by 1.5
5657
#35Sur
13.80.9
11.310.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed