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Red101
773710.2
161935.6
234126.3
Blue32
459320.3
380713.3
438813.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66462040608010010132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.2
28.728.9
Auto3.8
Teleop21.6
End10.3
red by 15.4
4593
#15
20.31.0
17.816.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Second
26.30.2
23.924.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.2
End4.4
red by 12.5
4388
#32
13.81.3
15.013.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Third
7737
#29
10.20.1
10.210.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 3.1
3807
#20
13.31.3
10.89.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed