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Red36
239514.7
557818.7
328813.1
Blue83
429323.6
161935.6
549312.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39692030506080901003683

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5578
#43
18.70.1
14.414.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 17.0
35.61.0
31.732.7
Auto3.8
Teleop21.6
End10.3
Second
2395
#26
14.70.1
13.713.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 8.8
23.61.1
24.225.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Third
3288
#30
13.10.1
9.19.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.3
red by 0.8
5493
#25
12.31.7
9.010.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned