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Red70
459320.3
19779.7
172631.2
Blue39
317212.2
337417.9
364817.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59452030405070807039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.9
26.727.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End9.4
red by 13.3
3374
#27
17.90.4
17.917.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Second
4593
#15
20.30.9
16.217.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End3.4
red by 2.9
3648
#39
17.40.4
12.712.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Third
1977
#47
9.71.5
13.414.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 2.6
3172
#23
12.20.4
12.211.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed