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Red37
748511.4
455018.2
380713.3
Blue39
130312.6
133918.0
15912.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3546102030405060703739

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#38
18.20.1
17.317.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 0.3
1339
#44
18.00.5
18.517.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Second
3807
#20
13.30.1
8.78.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
red by 0.4
159
#19
12.90.3
12.612.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
7485
#52
11.40.1
7.27.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 1.2
1303
#46
12.60.5
12.812.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed