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Red59
224025.9
141026.8
565713.8
Blue71
328813.1
172631.2
124522.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6258405070805971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#13
26.80.0
23.623.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.0
End1.8
blue by 4.3
31.21.1
27.628.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End9.4
Second
25.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End7.6
red by 3.5
22.41.8
18.019.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End7.6
Third
5657
#35
13.80.1
10.911.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.2
red by 0.7
3288
#30
13.11.8
9.010.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed85%HAB Docking oddsEarned