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Red50
130312.6
441816.5
133215.0
Blue56
449925.4
203614.1
317212.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435320304060705056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#28
16.50.6
14.515.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End5.2
blue by 8.9
4499
#10
25.41.1
24.523.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Second
1332
#17
15.01.0
14.315.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End4.3
red by 0.9
2036
#16
14.11.8
13.511.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
1303
#46
12.61.0
12.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 0.4
3172
#23
12.21.8
11.810.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed