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Red36
576313.0
203614.1
239514.7
Blue23
565713.8
724312.6
37297.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060803623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#26
14.70.1
12.312.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 1.0
5657
#35
13.81.8
12.911.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Second
2036
#16
14.10.1
12.112.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 1.5
7243
#31
12.61.8
13.411.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End3.8
Third
5763
#45
13.00.1
12.912.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
red by 5.2
3729
#53
7.81.8
12.610.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed