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Red43
133918.0
455018.2
549312.3
Blue28
37297.8
208312.2
665213.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493210204060704328

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#38
18.20.2
17.417.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 4.4
6652
#36
13.80.2
10.610.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Second
1339
#44
18.00.3
17.917.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.4
red by 5.7
2083
#51
12.20.3
11.411.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Third
5493
#25
12.30.3
10.710.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.2
red by 4.5
3729
#53
7.80.3
8.38.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed