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Red40
294517.3
438813.8
225911.7
Blue34
19779.7
37297.8
130312.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060804034

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#22
17.30.2
17.917.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End1.7
red by 4.7
1303
#46
12.60.5
13.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Second
4388
#32
13.80.4
13.613.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End3.5
red by 4.1
1977
#47
9.70.5
14.213.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Third
2259
#49
11.70.4
6.15.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 3.9
3729
#53
7.80.5
8.17.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed