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Red44
565713.8
320017.4
380713.3
Blue37
317212.2
294517.3
158415.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37501020306070804437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#18
17.41.0
14.015.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End4.1
red by 0.1
2945
#22
17.30.7
17.617.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Second
5657
#35
13.81.0
10.411.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.2
blue by 1.8
1584
#48
15.51.1
18.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Third
3807
#20
13.31.0
10.711.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
red by 1.1
3172
#23
12.21.1
11.09.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed