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Red44
449925.4
549312.3
208312.2
Blue32
748511.4
364817.4
294517.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474210203060704432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#10
25.40.1
20.720.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 8.0
3648
#39
17.40.8
12.311.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
5493
#25
12.30.1
12.011.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End3.2
blue by 5.0
2945
#22
17.30.5
17.216.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Third
2083
#51
12.20.1
12.112.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
red by 0.8
7485
#52
11.42.1
11.49.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed