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Red41
315823.4
239514.7
37297.8
Blue39
66211.4
208312.2
773710.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483210204060704139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
22.422.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.4
End3.4
red by 11.2
2083
#51
12.21.0
12.113.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Second
2395
#26
14.70.3
15.114.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 3.4
662
#37
11.40.6
10.811.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Third
3729
#53
7.80.4
7.67.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 2.4
7737
#29
10.20.9
7.58.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed