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Red79
459320.3
172631.2
455018.2
Blue70
62426.8
124522.4
337417.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371506080907970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.2
31.131.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End9.4
red by 4.3
624
#21
26.80.1
26.826.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.4
End6.3
Second
4593
#15
20.30.2
20.220.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End3.4
blue by 2.2
22.40.1
22.422.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End7.6
Third
4550
#38
18.20.2
18.218.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 0.4
3374
#27
17.90.1
17.817.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3