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Red111
19531.8
23030.9
786914.7
Blue74
23620.7
355527.1
457214.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796520406010011174

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
31.80.8
31.031.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.6
End6.9
red by 4.7
3555
#12
27.10.3
26.827.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.1
Second
230
#1
30.90.8
30.130.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.6
End7.9
red by 10.1
236
#18
20.70.3
20.420.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Third
7869
#17
14.70.8
13.914.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 0.2
4572
#23
14.90.3
14.614.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End0.9