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Red62
22823.2
283621.7
585618.8
Blue70
206722.3
712722.2
99916.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6862405080906270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#11
23.20.1
23.523.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
red by 0.8
2067
#10
22.30.2
21.822.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Second
21.70.1
22.122.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End6.3
blue by 0.4
22.20.2
21.721.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End8.5
Third
5856
#16
18.80.1
19.119.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End2.7
red by 2.8
999
#26
16.00.2
15.515.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.6