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Red67
19028.9
634614.5
363411.1
Blue61
786914.7
355527.1
112411.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46421020306070806761

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
28.91.5
23.825.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End10.0
red by 1.9
3555
#12
27.11.4
18.119.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.1
Second
6346
#30
14.51.5
10.512.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 0.3
7869
#17
14.71.4
11.212.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
3634
#22
11.11.5
9.711.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 0.5
1124
#38
11.51.4
10.011.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed