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Red50
199120.7
574613.1
278513.6
Blue62
55821.5
568614.7
676213.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395220306070805062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#20
20.70.9
17.017.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
blue by 0.8
558
#13
21.50.6
23.323.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.4
Second
2785
#27
13.60.9
10.811.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End3.5
blue by 1.1
5686
#19
14.70.6
13.414.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End4.4
Third
5746
#29
13.10.9
8.89.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 0.8
6762
#14
13.90.6
12.813.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned