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Red44
21317.7
169913.6
363411.1
Blue38
206722.3
681113.9
715311.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43443035404550554438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#28
17.70.2
15.215.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.8
blue by 4.6
2067
#10
22.30.2
19.118.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Second
1699
#21
13.60.2
14.014.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 0.3
6811
#25
13.90.2
10.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
3634
#22
11.10.2
11.311.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 0.8
7153
#33
11.90.2
11.311.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed