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Red82
712722.2
19028.9
514215.6
Blue84
18123.7
23620.7
283621.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596140507080908284

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
28.91.8
26.728.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End10.0
red by 5.2
181
#9
23.71.7
22.624.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End8.2
Second
22.21.8
17.719.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 0.4
21.71.7
17.819.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End6.3
Third
5142
#24
15.61.8
11.012.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End3.3
blue by 5.1
236
#18
20.71.7
17.819.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned