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Red36
681113.9
318215.6
21317.7
Blue50
199120.7
55821.5
786914.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43572030507080903650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#28
17.70.3
15.915.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.8
blue by 3.8
558
#13
21.50.7
23.322.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.4
Second
3182
#35
15.60.3
14.514.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 5.1
1991
#20
20.70.7
18.317.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Third
6811
#25
13.90.3
10.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.6
blue by 0.8
7869
#17
14.70.7
11.911.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed