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Red52
574613.1
99916.0
169913.6
Blue61
715311.9
355527.1
283621.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45612030405070805261

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#26
16.00.6
15.115.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.6
blue by 11.1
3555
#12
27.10.2
23.923.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.1
Second
1699
#21
13.60.6
14.615.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.6
blue by 8.2
21.70.2
20.720.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End6.3
Third
5746
#29
13.10.6
12.813.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
red by 1.2
7153
#33
11.90.2
12.912.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsEarned