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Red57
23030.9
112411.5
457214.9
Blue47
681113.9
23620.7
574613.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5548102030406070805747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
30.90.3
28.929.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.6
End7.9
red by 10.1
236
#18
20.70.1
18.518.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
4572
#23
14.90.3
12.813.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End0.9
red by 1.0
6811
#25
13.90.1
14.114.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
1124
#38
11.50.3
10.811.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.4
blue by 1.6
5746
#29
13.10.1
13.013.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed