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Red45
568614.7
19534.0
346419.9
Blue66
740725.9
206724.7
371916.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271506080901004566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#19
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto4.2
Teleop24.4
End5.4
red by 8.1
7407
#13
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End5.2
Second
3464
#21
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.2
blue by 4.8
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End8.5
Third
5686
#35
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End4.4
blue by 2.0
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking odds84%HAB Docking odds