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Red69
511910.7
32328.0
512617.2
Blue35
198724.6
177515.6
172311.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56522040801006935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#7
28.00.5
26.026.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 3.5
1987
#24
24.60.9
22.021.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End5.3
Second
5126
#11
17.20.5
15.415.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End4.4
red by 1.6
1775
#30
15.60.9
13.812.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
Third
5119
#21
10.70.5
11.712.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 1.2
1723
#46
11.90.9
13.312.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed