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Red44
235715.4
68178.6
635919.3
Blue34
19949.0
110810.0
379215.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060804434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6359
#19
19.30.2
17.117.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.6
red by 3.4
3792
#32
15.90.1
16.716.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Second
2357
#23
15.40.2
15.816.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End1.1
red by 5.4
1108
#49
10.00.1
8.68.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Third
6817
#22
8.60.2
8.28.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.2
End3.6
blue by 0.5
1994
#45
9.00.1
10.610.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed