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Red40
198213.0
59188.7
392827.9
Blue4
17636.4
241023.9
198724.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55630204080100120404

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.8
27.927.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End8.5
red by 3.4
1987
#24
24.63.7
25.722.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End5.3
Second
1982
#41
13.00.8
14.513.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 11.0
2410
#15
23.93.7
24.020.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End8.4
Third
8.70.8
9.38.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.7
red by 2.3
1763
#14
6.43.7
10.26.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned83%HAB Docking oddsMissed