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Red47
495919.8
99998.6
392827.9
Blue17
512617.2
631712.9
46468.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574220804717

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
26.826.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End8.5
red by 10.7
5126
#11
17.21.5
15.413.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Second
4959
#12
19.80.4
19.318.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 6.9
6317
#42
12.91.5
13.011.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Third
9999
#37
8.60.4
7.77.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End3.2
red by 0.1
4646
#47
8.51.5
11.810.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed