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Red53
641916.9
59188.7
500622.1
Blue47
631712.9
256017.5
171013.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464310203050607080905347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#20
22.10.6
20.821.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End7.8
red by 4.6
2560
#28
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
6419
#33
16.90.6
15.916.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End5.2
red by 3.5
1710
#25
13.40.2
12.412.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Third
8.70.6
7.07.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.7
blue by 4.3
6317
#42
12.90.2
11.411.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed