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Red45
182521.4
110810.0
9377.4
Blue57
495919.8
198213.0
178513.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394702060804557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#18
21.40.6
21.722.2
Auto3.1
Teleop15.5
End2.7
red by 1.6
4959
#12
19.80.9
19.420.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Second
1108
#49
10.00.6
9.29.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 3.2
1785
#40
13.20.9
12.213.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
937
#44
7.40.6
5.86.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 5.5
1982
#41
13.00.9
12.513.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed