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Red63
241023.9
509812.8
181019.2
Blue78
171013.4
512617.2
52533.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556302040801006378

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#15
23.90.7
21.922.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End8.4
blue by 9.4
525
#2
33.31.2
32.533.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.1
End10.6
Second
1810
#26
19.20.7
18.419.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
red by 2.0
5126
#11
17.21.2
14.215.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Third
5098
#38
12.80.7
11.812.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.0
blue by 0.6
1710
#25
13.41.2
12.613.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned