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Red54
55823.3
18120.6
405514.3
Blue61
17817.4
57117.6
346417.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65554050607080905461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#7
23.30.4
24.424.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 5.7
571
#9
17.60.1
17.517.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
Second
181
#5
20.60.4
21.621.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.9
red by 3.2
178
#10
17.40.2
17.317.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End5.7
Third
4055
#21
14.30.4
15.415.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 2.7
3464
#20
17.00.2
16.917.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End5.3