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Red47
23617.1
17519.2
568612.5
Blue28
17817.4
352511.5
365418.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413920253035455055604728

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#26
19.20.9
13.914.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End5.7
red by 0.5
3654
#14
18.71.0
13.012.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Second
236
#13
17.10.9
14.215.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 0.3
178
#10
17.41.0
11.910.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End5.7
Third
5686
#30
12.50.9
10.411.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End3.4
red by 1.0
3525
#34
11.51.0
11.910.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed