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Red11
568612.5
77608.3
405514.3
Blue34
71621.0
109915.8
455719.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40461020305060701134

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#21
14.33.0
15.112.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 6.6
716
#6
21.01.4
13.512.1
Auto3.2
Teleop15.9
End1.8
Second
5686
#30
12.53.0
12.89.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End3.4
blue by 6.9
4557
#25
19.41.4
15.614.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Third
7760
#38DQ
8.31.3
8.37.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 7.5
1099
#22
15.81.4
14.513.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed