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Red51
22820.1
672317.1
455719.4
Blue34
409710.2
331416.9
514210.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801005134

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#16
20.11.2
12.113.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 3.2
3314
#11
16.91.2
17.516.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End5.5
Second
4557
#25
19.41.2
14.215.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End5.3
red by 9.1
5142
#31
10.31.2
12.210.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Third
6723
#15
17.11.2
10.711.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.5
red by 6.9
4097
#32
10.21.2
9.48.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed