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Red43
405514.3
23717.3
109915.8
Blue59
283617.1
206415.8
17626.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425020306070804359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#12
17.30.4
12.813.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 8.7
176
#1
26.01.3
18.019.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.2
End9.5
Second
1099
#22
15.80.4
13.714.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End4.3
blue by 1.3
2836
#19
17.11.3
16.217.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Third
4055
#21
14.30.4
13.113.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 1.5
2064
#33
15.81.3
13.414.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned