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Red30
83910.2
55823.3
11249.8
Blue74
71621.0
107118.2
585616.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070803074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#7
23.31.4
17.916.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 2.4
716
#6
21.02.5
14.416.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.9
End1.8
Second
839
#27
10.21.4
14.112.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 8.1
1071
#18
18.22.5
15.017.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Third
1124
#37
9.81.4
10.59.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.4
blue by 7.0
5856
#17
16.82.5
9.311.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed