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Red36
23617.1
365418.7
514210.3
Blue33
672317.1
206415.8
457210.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040203050603633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#14
18.70.2
12.011.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 1.6
6723
#15
17.10.5
11.911.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Second
236
#13
17.10.2
14.814.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 1.3
2064
#33
15.80.5
14.614.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Third
5142
#31
10.30.2
10.910.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End2.8
blue by 0.4
4572
#40
10.70.5
10.710.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed