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Red56
17519.2
455719.4
77608.3
Blue69
57117.6
22820.1
365418.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38403050605669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#25
19.42.2
16.218.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 0.7
228
#16
20.12.3
13.716.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Second
175
#26
19.22.2
14.817.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End5.7
red by 0.5
3654
#14
18.72.3
11.814.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Third
7760
#38
8.32.2
4.87.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.1
blue by 9.3
571
#9
17.62.3
12.514.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsMissed