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Red56
405514.3
17817.4
199118.3
Blue64
346115.5
55823.3
18120.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404720305060705664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.32.0
14.416.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 5.0
558
#7
23.32.2
18.821.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Second
178
#10
17.42.0
10.312.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End5.7
blue by 3.2
181
#5
20.62.2
12.815.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.9
Third
4055
#21
14.32.0
13.015.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
blue by 1.1
3461
#29
15.52.2
12.614.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsEarned