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Red36
23717.3
634610.9
71621.0
Blue50
585616.8
17626.0
199118.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4454203040506070803650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#6
21.00.6
18.117.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.9
End1.8
blue by 5.1
176
#1
26.00.1
20.720.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.2
End9.5
Second
237
#12
17.30.6
13.412.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 1.0
18.30.1
16.416.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End7.2
Third
6346
#36
10.90.6
10.39.6
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.5
blue by 5.9
5856
#17
16.80.1
13.813.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned