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Red38
365418.7
672317.1
77608.3
Blue23
83910.2
346115.5
57467.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542203050603823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#14
18.70.5
14.114.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 3.3
3461
#29
15.51.9
14.813.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Second
6723
#15
17.10.5
12.012.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.5
red by 7.0
839
#27
10.21.9
14.412.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Third
7760
#38
8.30.5
7.17.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.1
red by 1.0
5746
#41
7.31.9
10.78.8
Auto4.0
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed