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Red76
71621.0
365418.7
465316.0
Blue22
409710.2
83910.2
346417.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4639102030506070807622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#6
21.02.2
17.319.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.9
End1.8
red by 3.9
3464
#20
17.01.6
16.815.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End5.3
Second
3654
#14
18.72.5
14.717.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 8.5
4097
#32
10.21.5
9.88.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Third
4653
#24
16.02.2
11.413.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.2
red by 5.8
839
#27
10.21.5
10.69.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed