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Red49
23717.3
57467.3
55823.3
Blue37
457210.7
634610.9
409710.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47281020406070804937

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#7
23.30.4
23.524.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 12.5
6346
#36
10.91.0
9.310.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Second
237
#12
17.30.4
13.213.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 6.7
4572
#40
10.70.9
9.410.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End0.2
Third
5746
#41DQ
7.30.4
7.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 2.9
4097
#32
10.20.9
8.39.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed