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Red32
11249.8
331416.9
57467.3
Blue64
23717.3
465316.0
23617.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38481020306070803264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#11
16.90.3
16.716.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End5.5
blue by 0.5
237
#12
17.31.4
13.615.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Second
1124
#37
9.80.3
10.710.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.4
blue by 7.3
236
#13
17.11.3
17.218.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
5746
#41
7.30.3
8.38.0
Auto4.0
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 8.6
4653
#24
16.01.3
14.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsEarned