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Red39
365418.7
99910.1
409710.2
Blue33
11249.8
107118.2
634610.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39431020305060703933

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#14
18.70.2
16.716.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End4.9
red by 0.5
1071
#18
18.20.5
18.517.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Second
4097
#32
10.20.2
10.010.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 0.7
6346
#36
10.90.6
11.510.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Third
999
#35
10.10.2
9.910.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End4.4
red by 0.3
1124
#37
9.80.5
10.49.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed