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Red42
318214.5
585616.8
57117.6
Blue51
672317.1
109915.8
465316.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54510204060801004251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#9
17.60.7
18.117.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
red by 0.5
6723
#15
17.10.0
16.516.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Second
5856
#17
16.80.7
17.516.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.1
red by 0.9
4653
#24
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
3182
#28
14.50.7
15.214.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.8
blue by 1.3
1099
#22
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed