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Red62
10732.6
27914.5
31416.7
Blue49
567214.2
365418.6
553023.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6667204060801006249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#16
32.60.0
29.329.3
Auto4.6
Teleop19.7
End8.2
red by 8.9
5530
#32
23.61.2
26.225.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End5.4
Second
314
#60
16.70.0
19.419.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 1.9
3654
#56
18.61.2
19.117.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End5.2
Third
279
#38
14.50.0
13.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End5.7
red by 0.2
5672
#68
14.21.2
18.517.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsMissed